This week’s newsletter is Sponsored By: Medicare Market Insights +

Includes β€œTea Leaves - AEP 2027 πŸ‚β€ - (Upgrade Now!)

Here is what you’ll find in this week’s newsletter!

  1. Important links πŸ”— - the best articles we found this week about the Medicare Market along with links to Jared’s recent LinkedIn posts.

  2. Deep Dive πŸ“š - C-SNP Continues to Grow in 2026 πŸš€

  3. Sponsor Snapshot πŸš€ - brought to you by Medicare Market Insights +

It’s only a 5 minute read, but it will make you 10x smarter.

Here are IMPORTANT LINKS πŸ”— for the week:

  1. 4 huge Medicare pay reforms are part of new bipartisan House bill - (link)

  2. Medicare Will Spend More Than $13 Billion on the Medicare Advantage Quality Bonus Program in 2026 - (link)

  3. Medbridge, Patient360 join on Medicare quality reporting - (link)

  4. Costco to start selling Medicare plans to bring β€˜greater value’ to seniors - (link)

  5. Providence Health Plan to shut down after Medicare Advantage deal falls through - (link)

  6. Bruin Biometrics Hires Monument Advocacy for Medicare Lobbying - (link)

Jared’s recent LinkedIn posts:

  1. $228.9 Billion. - (link)

  2. I started my career at Physicians Mutual. - (link)

  3. Tea Leaves - AEP 2027 - (link)

DEEP DIVE πŸ“š

C-SNP Continues to Grow in 2026 πŸš€

While the broader individual Medicare Advantage enrollment has slowed recently, the C-SNP market continues to grow. Expanding access for beneficiaries with complex chronic needs.

In this week’s deep dive we are going to look closer at that growth.

(Note: Chronic Condition Special Needs Plans (C-SNPs) serve Medicare beneficiaries with qualifying chronic conditions like diabetes, cardiovascular disorders, and certain autoimmune diseases)

β€”

The Growth Continues (though a bit slower)

Source: MMI+ web app.

As you can see, there continues to be large increases during AEP, and then continued growth throughout the year.

YoY growth comparison:

  • Dec. '23 – Aug. '24: 242,690 enrollment growth (45% growth rate)

  • Dec. '24 – Aug. ’25: 447,165 enrollment growth (51% growth rate)

  • Dec. ’25 – Aug. ’26: 362,214 enrollment growth (25% growth rate)

The C-SNP enrollment growth rate has slowed in 2026 (compared to 2025), but continues to outpace non-SNP (4%, 2%, 0%) and D-SNP market growth rates (6%, 3%, 5%) during the same time periods.

β€”

Where the Growth Happened

C-SNP By State

First of all, not every state has C-SNP enrollment. In the map below, the grey states have no recorded enrollment.

(Note: CMS data excludes counties with fewer than 11 enrollees, so some states may have small but unreported enrollment.)

Source: MMI+ web app.

Below is the C-SNP enrollment growth from Dec. 2025 to Aug. 2026 along with C-SNP market share by state.

Source: data pulled from MMI+ web app.

Key Callouts:

  • Large MA states (Florida, Texas and California) continue to lead the market in C-SNP enrollment and have all seen impressive growth in 2026

  • Opportunities? New York, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan. Large MA populations with lower than average C-SNP penetration suggesting market potential. This is true even after seeing explosive growth for some of these states so far in 2026.

  • Georgia C-SNP growth stopped after enrollment grew 40% in the same period the prior year.

  • C-SNP Penetration Rate: Nationwide penetration has grown to 5.9% (up from 4.5% the year prior), and Arkansas reached 16%, showing the high potential.

πŸ’₯Β If all states were at 16%, the C-SNP market would be 4.8 million (nearly 2.7x current)!

β€”

Carrier C-SNP Growth

Source: data pulled from MMI+ web app.

Key callouts:

  • UnitedHealth C-SNP growth slowed significantly compared to 2025.

  • Humana has grown the most (~91,000), with Devoted and CVS not far behind.

  • Devoted and CVS have shown explosive growth so far in 2026 (>1000% growth rate)

β€”

Is C-SNP Holding Up Under Market Pressure?

In recent years, Carriers have responded to market pressure (high loss ratios, shrinking profit margins) by terminating unprofitable plans.

Were C-SNP plans targeted for Plan Terminations during this past AEP?

Source: data pulled from MMI+ web app.

The answer is yes, but at a much more normal rate of 3% compared to the elevated 12% for Non-SNP plans.

Why? Likely due to the better economics in C-SNP plans (C-SNP plans carry higher-acuity members with elevated RAF scores, which translate to higher CMS payments per member).

As we head into AEP 2027, more Carriers are terminating plans (see β€œTea Leaves - AEP 2027”). So far, there is no indication that C-SNPs will be targeted for Plan Terminations differently than past years.

β€”

The C-SNP market continues to expand much faster than the overall Medicare Advantage market.

With only 5.9% penetration nationwide, C-SNPs remain one of the least saturated (but fastest-growing) opportunities in Medicare Advantage.

Several Carriers expanded their footprint in 2026. Expect this segment to be a key battleground heading into 2027.

SPONSOR SNAPSHOT πŸš€: Medicare Market Insights Plus

What is Medicare Market Insights - Plus?

  1. Medicare Advantage Insights Web Application tool

  2. Members-Only Content

  3. Insurance Regulatory Insights + Reg Tracker

All the moving pieces in the Medicare market result in opportunities!

  • Opportunities for you to help more consumers.

  • Opportunities for distributors to grow books of business.

  • Opportunities for Carriers to add new members.

  • Opportunities for Investors to invest in companies solving problems in the changing Medicare space.

What are you going to do to take advantage?

Stop guessing. Start making informed decisions.

What MMI + Subscribers read this week…

  • Tea Leaves - AEP 2027 πŸ‚ - Repository of 2027 AEP changes / opportunities (last updated 8/10/2026) (link)

  • Insurance Regulatory Insights August 2026 - State bulletins, federal rulemaking, and a fresh round of MA bills β€” what's final, what's new, and what's moving. (link)

  • August β€˜26 MA/MAPD and PDP enrollment data - April enrollment data has been loaded. Here are a few observations. (link)

Receive regulatory updates with the Insurance Regulatory Insights newsletter.

  • Monthly newsletters providing insight into recent insurance regulatory action

  • Access to Reg Tracker, a comprehensive list of insurance regulatory actions in all states for this calendar year that are included in the newsletters.

Insurance Regulatory Insights is now included in your MMI+ subscription! You can also subscribe using the link below.

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